I'm a big fan of Paul Lippe's legal column for The Am Law Daily
called “Welcome to the Future” and have been reading it regularly for
the past six months or so. I noticed that the final paragraph of his
recent interview with David Baca, chairman of the Seattle-based law
firm Davis Wright Tremaine, summarized so much of the buzz that has
been going around lately on the potential for real change, death of the
billable hour, and profits per partner as a metric—which have all been
frequent topics of Paul's, as well as so many other "oracles" of the
legal market. (For disclosure purposes, DWT has been a customer of Two
Step Software for the past 5 years.)
In Lippe's February 17, 2009 column, “Welcome to the Future: A View from the Left Coast,” Baca offers the following insights:
"There is no question in my mind that technology will upend the
legal industry. Clients aren't going to keep paying for information
they can get for free online. They will pay for judgment, for talent
aggregation, for things that increase their profits or peace of mind.
But we're going to have to redefine what our "service" is and how we
deliver it. As with all industries that technology has upended, some
firms will end up doing really well and some will struggle or cease to
exist.
Most law firms, including ours, aren't doing as well as they should
using technology to create more value for clients. In most cases, we
all haven't felt the same sense of urgency that our clients have.
Candidly, the dominance of the billable hour model has meant that there
has been very little reason for law firms to innovate or to use
technology to enhance efficiency. Moreover, the structure and decision
making processes in a large partnership makes change hard and slow. The
status quo has been pretty good to most of us. And a lot of firms have
wasted a lot of money on technology projects that weren't thought
through or properly executed, which makes people more skeptical."
I’d like to highlight parts of Baca's statement that speak to the current upheaval in the legal market and what it foretells:
1) Technology will upend the legal industry. This
sentiment has been heralded for many years by practitioners and thought
leaders alike. To quote Richard Susskind in an earlier interview with
Lippe (in which he calls Susskind "the world's pre-eminent legal
futurist"): "In 2000, I was urging lawyers to adopt some exciting
technologies which would support the way they worked. Now I am saying
lawyers must adapt because new technologies that are coming through are
'disruptive.'”
Susskind predicts that lawyers who are unwilling to adapt will
"struggle to survive." We've seen it with records and iTunes; we've
seen it with newspapers and digital media; and we’re currently watching
it unfold in the auto industry. With the powerful impact of technology
on efficiency and choice, it's never a question of whether, but only a question of when.
2) Clients will pay for judgment and not information they can get free online.
Lippe previously mentioned a business model used by Jeff Carr, the
General Counsel at FMC Technologies, which breaks legal services into
four categories: counseling, advocacy, content, and process. Carr says
that firms excel at the first two categories, but that clients end up
paying mostly for content and process because they consume so many
hours.
Lippe explains that since many firms have bundled all four
categories, they've been able to overcharge for content and process,
"failing to apply the kinds of process and technology innovations that
are common among their clients." In better days, this may have been
acceptable, but as clients become more savvy and cost-conscious in the
economic downturn, they will find alternatives in which they’re paying
primarily for the high-value components of legal services: counseling
and advocacy.
3) Most firms aren't doing well to create value for clients.
Marc Chandler, General Counsel of Cisco, may have said it best: "The
greatest vulnerability of the legal industry is a failure to drive
models based on value and efficiency and to make information more
accessible to clients. The good news is that greater efficiency will
create more value for clients. The bad news is that higher levels of
efficiency by some raise the bar for others in a competitive market.”
4) The billable hour model has given law firms little reason to innovate or to use technology to enhance efficiency.
Increasingly, in-house counsel at major clients have been pressuring
law firms to accept alternative, value-based billing methods. Other
firms are offering new and innovative ways to lower their hourly rates
when it makes business sense. The glacial pace of change may have been
dealt an asteroidal blow this past December, when the presiding partner
at Cravath Swaine & Moore, Evan Chesler, wrote his "Kill the
Billable Hour" article for Forbes magazine. From that point
forward, the topic reached the front page of every major business
publication and got stuck in the frontal lobe of every CEO and General
Counsel nationwide.
5) The structure of law firms makes change hard and slow.
As Baca explains, there is something about the decision making process
of a large partnership that contributes to slow change. Having worked
as a vendor to hundreds of law firms over the past 15 years, I can
attest to this. However, lawyers are leaving firms in droves in the
current economic market, forced to start new firms and specialized
boutiques. These new “high-quality” firms will put pressure on larger
firms to change as they tear away just enough business to make an
impression.
Don’t Miss the Two Step Webinar on March 3rd
Paul Lippe is the founder and CEO of Legal OnRamp (www.legalonramp.com), a legal online community, and will be one of the featured speakers at a free Two Step Software webinar being held on March 3, 2009,
entitled: “Productivity, Service, and Partnership: What They Mean to
Your Law Firm's Future.” If you’re looking to understand how
marketplace change will affect your law firm’s odds of success or even
survival, it will be worth your time to attend.
I also encourage you to be a part of the ongoing discussion by
checking out Lippe’s “Welcome to the Future” column and joining Legal
OnRamp. The future has a way of sneaking up on you if you’re not paying
attention. It's happening now, so get on board—or get left behind.